Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Troska 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Gatsby’s Gift 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Run Away Samari 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Bridled Up 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Chacha to Catalina 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Boston Belle 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Savannah’s Here 6.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Apriority Girl 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miss Charge It 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Terri Got a Friend 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Our Clover Gal 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Pintora 3.50 5.8 11-1
8 8 Leprechaun Charm 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Bell Pepper 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Bye Bye Big Baby 15.00 7 13-1
5 5 Mave Runner 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Custom Sunshine 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Jet Rocket 3.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Coal Dancer 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Baby Jane 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Back Street Baby 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Five Leaf Clover 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Eve Eve 10.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Rt’s Mystery Lady 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Viewing Trail 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Old School Flash 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Acela Express 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Piece of Me 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Brooke’s All In 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 California Cali 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 That You Margaret 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Absolutely Mindy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 La Tress Gray 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Itsnotmyjob 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Essential Bella 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Knights Sword 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Iron Lotus 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Holy War 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Point of Victory 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Payton’s Indian 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cat B Cause 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Graeme’s Deal 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 That Is Awesome 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Mor Kisses 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Easy Act 3.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Cousin Vickie 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Aunt Jana 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jolly Tommy 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Donegal Factor 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 El Oro (FR) 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Classic Bet 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Mayfield Strong 8.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Mr Midway 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Uptown Social 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 God’s Gold 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Double Thunder 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Honor My Speed 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 U S Navy Cross 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Coolcross 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Machinegunpreacher 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Getcha 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Motataabeq 12.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Unfathomed 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Whiskey’s Gone 10.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 I’ll Raise You 20.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Tappin Fora Dance 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.