Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Mule 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Shell Belle 1.80 4.4 8-1
3 3 Strategy Queen 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Super Duper Fly 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bohemia Babe 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 So Softly 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Amalfi Lady 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Creative Copy 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ratified 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Old Head 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Bunny Bonus 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Kisses for Emily 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Akna 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 So Swell 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Dune Jumper 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 B B Bad 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Souper Fly Over 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Jw’s Third Mischie 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Cousin Andrew 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Satchel de Ritches 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Mischievous Juan 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Lazaretto 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flashing Diamond 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Out Dancing 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Pontiffany 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Bravo Zulu 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Pearls and Heels 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Collin’s Grey Lady 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Sizzling Roma 8.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Runnin Redbird 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Afleet Diva 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fairy Dreams 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Marion Grace 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Whiskey Prize 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 McMagic 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Birthday Bond Rob 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Merging Traffic 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Out On the Town 5.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Principe 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Doctor Magic 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Social Joe 20.00 9 17-1
10 10 Nomar’s Hope 15.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Frugal Jude 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princess Sophie 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Obstinate 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Flashndynamite 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Peach Perfect 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Jolene Jolene 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Heart Light 8.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Catti La Belle 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Ifihadachance 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Peyton’s College 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Magnificent Pearl 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cocoa’s Vivian 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Always Mia 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sugar Smile 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Wishing Ona Prayer 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Thegoddessofsnakes 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Gingers Wish 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Moonboots 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mary Q 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Magicnthemoonlight 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Geebert 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 The Khozan One 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Violent Turbulence 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Ebben 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Five Dreams 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Baafeed 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Gagetown 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cold Feet 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Young Squire 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Dark Timber 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Sea Trident 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Bronx Boys 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Mr. Roundtree 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Dathoss 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Iconic Legacy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Whiskeymac 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Trophy Room 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Almond Cider 10.00 2 4-1
2 2 Bode O 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Modern Midas 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Caddy Man 4.00 4 8-1
9 9 Wheresthepassion 15.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Chip’s Friend 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Keep Dem Talking 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Rockin Freebee 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mil Doscientos 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.