Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gunpowder n’ Lead | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Nita Warrior | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Riddles | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes Jack | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Keczal | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dadsamumbler | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Sun | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Drop Rob | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frenetic Day | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pequena Tormenta | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tennessee Moon | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Lonelyhearts | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Rose | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Special Treasure | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Diamond | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cave Creek | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Summertime Peppers | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Puppeteer | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Theboyz Secret | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maladjusted Misfit | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lexington River | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Punches | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fran’s Star | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hit the Bullseye | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Titanium Deal | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Love a Fighter | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roll On Out | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Cajun | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Connection | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Astern Banker | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hullinahurry | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wings of Gold | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Captains Cove | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Mic Tiesun | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out Making Treble | 10.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Moro Flyboy | 12.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Clever Prince | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Overdeliver | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Berti | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diablo Cat | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Song | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sturgill | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chicago Chrome | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wesleyan | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ojitos | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whacudposblygowrng | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seriously Sam | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Anna | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Ending | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | See Sassy Run | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angela’s Celerity | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Start Well | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girl Thirsty | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crider Chase | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ring Twice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Beauty | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Broken Hearts Bay | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Toast | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Shipman | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Expect a Dancer | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Vision | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hamazing Lace | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Psalm Prayer | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hopeshecanrun | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shankinstine | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ide Like Hawaii | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Make Your Destiny | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | K V Target | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R T’s d’Oro | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ninejuanjuan Call | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soulology | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Kimosabi | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pac the Pulpit | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angola Vacation | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toocan Dance | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.