Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kit Kat Kidd 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Skippa 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Mr. Butch Womble 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Oceola 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Relic Hunter 2.50 6.2 12-1
3 3 Bulletsrevenge 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Goldenlute 3.50 7.2 14-1
1 1 Flower Cat 4.50 7.6 14-1
6 6 Flashy Boy 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 That’s My Mama 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 R T’s Gem 15.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Starship Jambalaya 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Flawless Takeover 2.50 3.4 7-1
2 2 Pickin Ana Grinnin 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Deal Me a Penny 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Cute Dinero Queen 3.50 7 13-1
7 7 Run Natalie Run 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Doctored Deal 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Run Carlos 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Poppa Magic 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Apriority Avenger 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Doss 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 Blume 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Saucer Eyes 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Mr. Clyde Jester 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 He’s a Good Chap 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jaysker 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Hostile Afleet 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Extirpator 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Eye Dee Kay 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Super Curioso (ARG) 3.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Its a Wrap 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Zultan 10.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Meant for Me 10.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Gold Crusher 2.50 9.5 18-1
2 2 Lauri’s Wish 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Classic Warrior 15.00 1 2-1
11 11 Kat’s Soldier 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Half Crazy 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Beaudean 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Iron N Steel 2.50 6.4 12-1
8 8 Valid Early 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 All Country 10.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Graysons Malagra 4.50 8.4 16-1
2 2 Stonecoat 8.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Wild Fist 20.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Boss Man Zong 15.00 11.2 21-1
12 12 Little Warrior 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hunters Ghost 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Affirm Chief 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Fire Sword 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Red White and Loud 3.50 4.4 8-1
11 11 Mint 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Knight Commander 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Doctor Leo 2.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 B W P Special 12.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 McLean 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Grey Rogue 20.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Penetrator 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Raul’s Encanto 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Bello Creedo 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Plenty of Cents 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 American Smooth 1.80 5.3 10-1
4 4 Itellyouthefacts 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Smart Analysis 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Homeland Messa 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Carlos’ Blast 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Barahin 8.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 G E H Giants Way 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Marks Promise 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Crooked Fellow 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Uncle Frank 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Get Them Justin 6.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Sammy Danseur Jr. 4.50 7.2 14-1
5 5 Double Star 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) 2.50 7.4 14-1
8 8 Life Is a Banquet 10.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Ocean of Storms 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kasens Tribe 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Sense of Heart 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Charming Kat 3.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Tiz a Breakup 12.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Sweetheart Vision 10.00 8 15-1
11 11 Re Re’s Rainbow 6.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Grace’s Vision 6.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Spooky Guitar 20.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Dee’s Lil Fool 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Jess’s Rainbow 4.50 10.4 20-1
4 4 Quick Bite 6.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.