Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 All Together 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Kat’s Soldier 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Daboogeyman 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Tapit Twice 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Call Me Firey 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 My Uncle Billy 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Mustbelieve 6.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Flying in Hot 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sir Eli 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Overtaxed 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Hurts So Bad 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Mind On My Money 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Kingswood 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 I See Clearly Now 12.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Tizhotndusty 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Moro Mafia 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Re Re’s Rainbow 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Wheels Like Nala 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Sparkle City 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Gypsy Jackpot 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Sweet Revival 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Jivin Astro 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Blueridgeballerina 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Cupie Cutie 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Glorious Gears 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Top Con 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mydealoftheday 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Battle of Wits 15.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 She’smysmokeshow 2.50 4 8-1
8 8 A P Humor 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 T R’s First 3.50 6.3 12-1
6 6 Stop Shop N Drop 4.50 6.9 13-1
4 4 Pintlala 6.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Pippa’s Prospect 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jamaican Me 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Xanthus Wrath 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Mr Elvin 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 It’s a Bird 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Pink Higgins 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Play Master 6.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Midnight Crown 5.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Inspector Ed 8.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Heather’s Request 15.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Putthehammerdown 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Incorrigible 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tapit’s Spirit 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Forevamo 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Payday Too 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Applewood 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Traelee 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Verrazano First 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 More Like It 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Temprano 10.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Kinlee’s Song 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tensas Bertie 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Bless d’South 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Just a Win 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 She’s Takin Over 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Simple Sunday 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Eagleoverthemoon 4.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Mardi Gras Alarm 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Boston Lucille 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Cajun Two Step 10.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Elizabeth Renee 20.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Mylies Star 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rithm Nic 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Ever a Rebel 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Itwasthisbig 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Uxmal 2.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Brite Outlook 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Iron in the Fire 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Fahan 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gerard 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Gold Merritt 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Hail State 2.50 4 8-1
10 10 My Man Louie 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Shark Harbor 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Full Power 6.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Tripper John 10.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Wonder Run 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Salado 15.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Wrath 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.