Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Porto Del Ace | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rona Vision | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Guitar | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Naturalbornsender | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen’s Soldier | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Glory | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Close | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honest Deal | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mean American | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taylor’s Secret | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance Lady | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Reality | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saber Queen | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shesaheatwave | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Tizway | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hart’s Pretty Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Cane Gal | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Harmony | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southeaster | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamysawesomeday | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Chick | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alessande | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | With a Song | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ido Solemnly Swear | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cozy Courtney | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Vision | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swift N Traffic | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J C’s in Town | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monitor Mills | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saber Storm | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quarter Rat | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now Now Man | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gottatakehimto | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Book | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Country Cat Jake | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truvy’s Bandit | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Falling Nate | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fishin With Pete | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Idol | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arkansas Zong | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Zong | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Work All Day | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Georgia Dawn | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Teasin’ Tesla | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waters of Merom | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In the Red | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Trip | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ashley’s Girl | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harlans Warrior | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond the Hype | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mschitchattour | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saved by Grace | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightofmaine | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Line Ruler | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Smiled At Me | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plum Wine | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Communicationiskey | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boardwalk Queen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zipping Molly | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Glass | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apriority Catch | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Our Hallie | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gap Daddy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Arms Apriority | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roll Gypsy Roll | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Donna | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Layla’s Song | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | California Belle | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ilimitada | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.