Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Alaia | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Run Riverman Run | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Scott Alaia | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cedar Valley | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Wild Woman | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Takestwotowiggle | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Yellen | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Frankly My Dear | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gormley Girl | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bramble Bush | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Londonderry | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | J J Loves Billy | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vine Jet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Over Montana | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Einstein | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magnetron | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunny Saint | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jupi’s Lightning | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meru | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moliere | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sette Stelle | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Long Gray Line | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bad Guy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Just Step On It | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Utility | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lanie’s First Dude | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Who Knows | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bernie’s Mitts | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trevesso | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jaknava | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lion in the Sun | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dropline | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Marion Grace | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bahama Pearl | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Sadie | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen Cadence | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Cara | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leviosa | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baby Fade | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Jane | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summary Judgment | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boca Royalty | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gia’s Fuego | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Badbadbobby | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bronx Tale | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Workout | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Jim | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Carpe All Day | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boys and Bullets | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Book Marker | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bluey | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Connecting | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Sensation | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | She Speaks Well | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Runner | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Z’s So Good | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sunset Town | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Runandscore | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Raisedaroofcharlie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crack the Code | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Stardom | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whoosh | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Maxey | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Rooster | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commission Always | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ramblininmyshoes | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Saratoga Sky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rollin Deep | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Check My Six | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Living Water | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ava K’s Boy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nimble Beast | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Box of Chocolates | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Uhtred | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jebologist | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Doom | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Jones | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chain Reaction | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indirectly | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bad Bud | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Starlite Walker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Miss Behaviour S.) – Miss Behaviour S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aoife’s Magic | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Aoife’s Magic | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Noisy On the Bay | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Aoife’s Magic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noisy On the Bay | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mary’s Reward | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Opportunity | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maria Says So | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betsy Is the Gal | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Namora | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Merrychill | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flamingo Way | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Wait For It S.) – Wait For It S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Socially Awkward | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Standpoint | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Notice of Action | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Addyson’s Dream | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love Shaq | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Heavy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ridley Park | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carcharoth | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blameitonmymomma | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neon Deion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zona de Amigos | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Healy’s Hope | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 13 | 13 | Enraged | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | R Goodtime Charlie | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dee Bo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Therisastormbrewin | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Goodluckchuck | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Tuttle | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rack Gin | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Healy’s Hope | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mach Trial | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catch My Vibe | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strum and Pluck | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Splitzville | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Melina’s Dream | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Youshouldbesolucky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.