Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Union Belle | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Music | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Extra Dirty | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cha Cha Chukka | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | To Be Loved by You | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | By the Glass | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thirteen Red Flags | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wake Up Lauren | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Celestial Express | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Film Star | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tabeguache | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinetic Sky | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Bomber | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winit | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beachwalker | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Curlins Choir | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Cross | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy Feline | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roja Ligera | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lockbox | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anileate | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Goddess | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | It Takes Heart | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Just Katherine | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amanda’s Folly | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crypto Mama | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Into Happiness | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toned Up | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Willemina | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Deputy Connect | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Memphis | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | South Street | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proven Hope | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dads Good Runner | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Connect the Brocks | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mama Banned Me | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scotto | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sorpreso | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Water Flow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flash Kiss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Opportunity Set | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Papi On Ice | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Arrebato | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Dark Vector | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capone | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Road | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Hammer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Good Rapport | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Screaming Uncle | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Kentucky Joker | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mudville Nine | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Jungfrau | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pine Valley | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Notah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Petrolo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Bay Ridge S.) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venti Valentine | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Fingal’s Cave | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Venti Valentine | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Bay | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Know It All Audrey | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Sugar | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetie | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Mystery | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Love Like Crazy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Handle On You | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dame Catherine | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bornforgreatness | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Nipotina | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Conversation | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bells Tolling | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mother Mary | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song of Solomini | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dactilografa | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nicolena P. | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.