Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fluff the Pillow | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | States United | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vino Barbarino | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Eddie | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crown That Saint | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Game Misconduct | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rossington | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Alex M. Robb S.) – Alex M. Robb S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dr Ardito | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aggregation | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barese | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General Banker | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Judge Rules | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solo Tonight | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goldfire | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Marble | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arco Augusta | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morq | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Grad | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Witheverything | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hair On Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vodka Mardini | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gut Feeling | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mandatory | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Duke of Gloucester | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thank You Jon | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Cobbler | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grandpa’s Kid | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Von Hoff | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Centavo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bobby the Tank | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Allied Attack | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Sorority Prank | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Doc Sullivan | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Shore Time | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Charles J | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2B | 6 | Fratellino | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Executive Move | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Rich | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Li’l Lang | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Irie Man | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Seventh Race Shake | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Slow Down Big Andy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Kunshan Bridge | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Harbors Dream | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Poppy’s Pride | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maxwell Esquire | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cajun Casanova | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Tetsu | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Flint Ridge | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Tryst | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Business Model | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Bourbon’s Hope | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Power Seeker | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Ducale | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Stolen Base | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Life Changer | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Synthesis | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Calling | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Guntown | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Bob | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Montauk Point | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Midnight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Yankee Agate | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harlan’s Bond | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Empress | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scoring Chance | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Play | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mine | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Linzee | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sandy’s Garden | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Special Pal | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Newsdley | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Highway Harmony | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jackson Avenue | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liberty Flame | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.