Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Admiral Risty 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Dr. Snyder 2.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Whiskey Red 4.50 5 9-1
3 3 Winning Dance 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Vestment 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Just Because 6.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Rocky Boy 8.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Dee’s Legs 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Little Warrior 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nana’s Corn Muffin 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Answer the Call 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Katies Spirit 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Gypsan 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Cabo Cowgirl 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Katies Factor 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Madelyn’s Hit 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Get Ready Gal 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Customerunhappy 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Geaux Maw P 3.50 6.4 12-1
12 12 Good N Sassy 10.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Dr. Boo 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Six String 4.50 8.6 16-1
11 11 Back Street Baby 15.00 10.5 20-1
2 2 Half Off Half 15.00 10.5 20-1
9 9 Secretly Sweet 12.00 10.9 21-1
8 8 F J’s Chaos 20.00 11.3 21-1
1 1 Lyrical Belle 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Boyd Rewards S.) – Boyd Rewards S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Oak Hill Lg 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jack Bob and Larry 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Wicked Rose 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Play Mo 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Ballinonabudjet 5.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Guitar Slim 10.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Blue Cheese 15.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Muffin Nuts 5.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Available Star 20.00 10.6 20-1
6 6 Bayou Jam 12.00 10.8 20-1
10 10 Venn 6.00 11.3 21-1
12 12 Reddingandlee 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Special Operator 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Double Trap 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Shut Up Man 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bind Faith 2.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Brew Crew 5.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Wesleyan 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Sweet Rachel 6.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Tapalist 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Honorarian 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Boyfriend Material 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Seize the Treasure 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Uncle Brad 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Muffin Nuts 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Chaosmos 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Birthday Party 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Elusive d’Oro 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Paynt Battle 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lode of Blarney 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 His Giant 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Sailor Chow 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Far Beyond 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Mists of Time 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 In the Arch 3.50 6.5 12-1
2 2 India Ink 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Carbon Stryker 15.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Gentleman’s Secret 2.50 8.7 16-1
3 3 Jazzy Justin 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Rosewater S.) – Rosewater S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Olivia G 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Basalt Street 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Mo Classy 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 World War 3.50 6 11-1
2 2 Muchmorethanready 4.50 7.6 14-1
9 9 Alliaceous 5.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Tincandance 20.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 A Wish for Madelyn 6.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Courtly Doc 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Admiral Halsey 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Buffett 5.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Wildcats’s Meow 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Benissimo 1.80 5.3 10-1
6 6 Bobby Merlot 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Lisa’s Guy 20.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Egor Otay 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Red October 6.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Corte 20.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 Slew City Henry 20.00 10.4 20-1
5 5 Royal de Be 12.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.