Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | K’antheia | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hamo | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Clancy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Happy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Insensitive | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haunted Dream | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Rackataptap | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Family | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whooping Jay | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Square Deal | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabot | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smokin’ Hot | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Invariably | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mister Sharpie | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morning Snow | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warhorse West | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hooperdrivesthboat | 2.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Black Storm | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galactic Empire | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Water to Wine | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Colonel Barton | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Howl Yeah | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whonew | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Partyinthestreets | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pepperonikid | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Miri a Coincidence | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Table Money | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Cougar | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Wully Bully | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point Blank | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Street Commander | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kinfolk | 5.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Forsaken | 4.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Benny | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Rainy Day | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chez Whiz | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hello Mr Copeland | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reveille Valley | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yeagers Strategy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool and Cloudy | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Streakin Deacon | 3.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abby’s Encore | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m an Oak | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Southfork | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Windy Slew | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Izeonpoint | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haythere Jogeegirl | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Gimme Candy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Dixie Penny | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scarlet Position | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cost a Fortune | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Mia Baby | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distorted Secrets | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Funtimegirl | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Birdie | 2.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spoiled Rotten | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ten Days Later | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catdaddy | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Hat Willie | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motown Music | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inexorable | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Boss | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Ending | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Affable Monarch | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pledgeofallegiance | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ignitis | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prisoner | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chipofftheoldblock | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Top Gunner | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eli’s Promise | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Wait Up | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breslau | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | League of Legends | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flags Up | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Radical Right | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mac Daddy Too | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lake Radio | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slam Dunk Sermon | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | St Andrews | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Macron | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deflater | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joe Frazier | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rob the Rich | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blue Kentucky | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackman | 2.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beer Chaser | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vulcan | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Camp David | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Heroic Move | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backside Buzz | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manta Rey | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Creative Minister | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapsasional | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tahoe Run | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Greener Pastures | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Winters Lion | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chapel Barn | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uninvited Guest | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cyclone | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Brittle and Yoo | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Flashy Lass | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Let’s Duet | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | H. T. Xena | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red River Magic | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jubella | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sicilian Grandma | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghaaleb’s Ranger | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Magic Bubbles | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Makemebelieve | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C. C. Harbor | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Windy Bay | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Midnightcandystorm | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alsanah | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| Sicilian Grandma | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.