Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory Risk | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Regulatory Risk | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wynning Touch | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Value Area | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Maturity Date | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backstretch Rose | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Express | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Greatest Gift | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Patricia Ann | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Un Ojo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zeebear | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Callaloo | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colloquy | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Chase | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lobsta | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Gravesend S.) – Gravesend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rotknee | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Durante | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Journey | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stage Left | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greeley and Ben | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miss Fashionista | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Follow the Fed | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Purest Performance | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strange Fruit | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Tallahassee | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Class Cat | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Isola | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Teresa | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bomb Squad | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chateau | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pogi | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Mister J T | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ryan’s Cat | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brazillionaire | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince James | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Bustin Shout | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flamingo Hawk | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Magical Ways | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Dontbelate | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rally Squirrel | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leading Contender | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Overstep | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suerte | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Law | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Napa Valley | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hold the Salsa | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Call Ray | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Roman Goddess | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Chasing Daylight | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Irish Jackson | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | My Girl Jal | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vax | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Principessa | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mouly | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Duckphat | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | La Grotte | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Red Pepper Grill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tra Lad | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fortune’s Nephew | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Institute | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agility | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kaz Sugar Bank | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Icy Flavor | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Boy Al | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prince of Truth | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon’s Hope | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharpaz | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Three Zero | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Newport Bridge | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Plate Special | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gun Maestro | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collect From Ike | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bargaining Power | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bayou Spirit | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Burn Jakey Burn | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Doctor Jerry | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shortsinthewinter | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red D G P | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.