Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Horseshoe | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Karat | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bar Tap | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atomic Rose | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bows N Lace | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Laura | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fasted | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Puglia | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frosty Brew | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sense of Flurry | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Splicer | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sara’s Sapphire | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Aces | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Envoy | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kellys the Boss | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | K R Power Storm | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Solid Words | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catch Me T | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Dane | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catalina Day | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mymanrowen | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suit of Wands | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Speck | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First Class Harlow | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lo Lo’s Laughter | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steauxlit | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty’s Hauler | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Red Aces | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Crazy Neighbor | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heza Royal Cat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lake Bali | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reina Aces | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valtesse | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aggie Doctor | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eagleoverthemoon | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Non Binding | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Amen | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tenpins Tempest | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scrapbook | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m All Mixed Up | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chatain’s Flyer | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lacie Be Good | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saenz | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Bella | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zing | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birdie Call | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Caliente Lady | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cincy’s Anna | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Itellyouthefacts | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Salute Now | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Red Racer | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | San Juan Hill | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nocomet | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Astrologysprotege | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half a Buck | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Janet’s Devil | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Grady | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | G’s Storm | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Priority | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Creekside | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | George Allen | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guitar Doctor | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thundertakesdalead | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risky Priority | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cpriority | 4.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ourperfectprince | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heza Sexy Zong | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Chrome | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Briartown | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Define | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hail the Cat | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R T’s Iron Man | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Treasure Coast | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papiringo | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hullinahurry | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Forty Strangers | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carlos’s Mama | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | D W Strong | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Party Gras | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.