Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 31, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Princess Vino 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Carol T 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Mel’s Baby Sister 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 City Blocks 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Lucky and Gorgeous 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Troubled Luck 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Zhen Lou 15.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Sohana 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bustin Hot 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Active Lane 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 K D Kakes 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Lady Banker 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 George’s Vice 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Rosemary Potatoes 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Devilly 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Lemon Taffy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Maggie T 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Vintage 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Shoopthereitis 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Boy Is She a Lady 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Synonymous 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Ice Love 10.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Embraceable Gal 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Joey the Fish 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Khali Magic 0 0-1
Khali Magic 0 0-1
5 5 Gone and Forgotten 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Stone Creator 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Sue Ellen Mishkin 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Khali Magic 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Cinderella’s Cause 4.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 April Antics 3.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Amity Island 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Mia Bea Star 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Union Bulldog 4.50 1 2-1
1A 9 Unique Insight 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Lambeth 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Timing Difference 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 McQueen 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 King Mendelssohn 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Capital Idea 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Carolo Rapido 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Ignite the Light 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
American Monarch 0 0-1
7 7 American Monarch 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Listentoyourheart 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Trafalgar 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Andiamo a Firenze 15.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Emerald Forest 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Wake Surf 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Saffa’s Day 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Khafre 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ski Patrol 3.00 1.1 2-1
11 12 Amani’s Eagle 4.00 3.1 6-1
1A 11 Wynn Giant 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 2 Cheeky Tico 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Hometown Hero 15.00 5 10-1
4 4 Norgay 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Salute to America 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Strong Light 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Mineola Mike 8.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Mach One 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Midnight Cat 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Queens County S.) – Queens County S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Crupi 0 0-1
Crupi 0 0-1
6 6 Kinetic Sky 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lost Ark 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Constitutionlawyer 3.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Signator 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 King Kumbalay 4.50 6 11-1
8 8 Quality Chic 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Crupi 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Forewarned 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ichiban 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lisa’s Vision 4.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Sweet Mystery 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Dame Cinco 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Sweetest Princess 4.50 5.8 11-1
8 8 Vallelujah 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Golden Rocket 3.50 6.9 13-1
5 5 To a T 15.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Vienna Code 20.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Proud Foot 5.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.