Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shezz Koldazice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enchanted Nile | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One More Kelly | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dear Lady | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stoic Luna | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Diva | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny Isle Beach | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| Dear Lady | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Atta Party | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lochmoor | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Socks | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready Shoes | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Holding Pattern | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Ronnie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twisted Dixie | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame J D | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reef’s Destiny | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mahomey | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Macho Rocco | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stomping Hotrod | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | No Pay No Hay | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Miesha | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Bolt | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Erumpent | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Global Risk | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Escapade | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gogo Bobbyjo | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Marco Sunset | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Babas Gal | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raetastic | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catty Cruise | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angelic Vision | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lastchancesaloon | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | De De’s Bird | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stud Lovin | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Permafrost | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Asset Basis | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smackzilla | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kentucky Bourbon | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mahoney Road | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quick Buck | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contrabandista | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vale | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bigtime Tegridy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Unstable Prince | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Master of Arms | 4.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I’m Crenshaw | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Act | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That Khenny | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What a Country | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chisholm Trail | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Turn On the Magic | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mulberry Street | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgia Deputy | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Major Contender | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drewpower | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nomoremrniceguy | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Wings From Above | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cartel Queen | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Bet | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Kisses | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Nellie | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Princess Says | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hartley | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Vow | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Punchy Girl | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Singing Emma | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sea Pearl | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shell Shock | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| Sweet Nellie | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Honest Opinion | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crusading | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maximus Magic | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pet Sounds | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rivetage | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Higginsville | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Plate | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patriot Hills | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quebrancho | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coastal Brink | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smackover Lime | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Express Cruiser | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Gunflash | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mister Iceman | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Happy Is a Choice | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hey Eugene | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tirico | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Plausible Denile | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sinner’s Sin | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bettys Cash | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Majesty | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | W W Scout’s Honor | 4.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tee Burns | 4.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Bash | 3.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Underhill’s Tab | 3.50 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Circle Back Jack | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Smarty Jones S.) – Smarty Jones S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lagynos | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gettysburg Address | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Informed Patriot | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catching Freedom | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystik Dan | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fidget | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Winning | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Steel | 1.80 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chaperone | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| Mystik Dan | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Time Andbeyond | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Raven | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bradford | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moneystrike | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Macho Striker | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hard Luck Henry | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Secret Strategy | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hess | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Heavenly Gift | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Welcometoarkansas | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Secret Honor | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | God’s Country | 3.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Task | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.