Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Irish Moon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No More Words | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gunpowder n’ Lead | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winmor Wendy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Jack | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Terni Valentino | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deroy | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fruit Cup | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hot Le Roy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Art | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violent City | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Autopilot | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Will Stand | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Wimbledon Bay | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Rogue | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suez | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Baby Jane | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wind of War | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Lucky Break | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wonderrand | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take Her Away | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shezaperfectdream | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coal Dancer | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Cheryl’s Song | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hillbilly Risen | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Saint | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Secretly Sweet | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Five Leaf Clover | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Boss Soss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doctored Deal | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sonya Knows Better | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boy Charlie | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Sweet | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reddingandlee | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pitch and Run | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catchin Drama | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charlie’s Parade | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Stephen’s Answer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Into Wishing | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Four Sevens | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guitarzan | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spheroid | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver N Lai | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Getcha | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr B Quiet | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey’s Gone | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Machinegunpreacher | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fast Verdict | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dealin’ Stelen | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Letstakeitoutside | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ojitos | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half Ours N Stormy | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diablo Cat | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Prado | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Berti | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tripper John | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preacher | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bayou Beaux | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B B Moody | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Farmer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R T’s Gem | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pickin Ana Grinnin | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bitsy C C Lil Girl | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crystal d’Oro | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Alexis | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betison | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Megans Millions | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sue’s Little Zing | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Ridge Queen | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Be a Bandit | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Our Hallie | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bell Pepper | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acela Express | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kancancutie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Terri Got a Friend | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bridled Up | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piece of Me | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grace’s Soldier | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Retro Rita | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Julio Choice | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.