Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Watch Hill | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Forever | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Vine | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Traveler | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wanna Winna | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mugsy Fury | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Speights Dance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mangia | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolce Veloce | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Connect | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mastery’s Secret | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amy’s Light | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jay’s Love | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Solib | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Behind the Couch | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Eros’s Girl | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Beautiful Karen | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Carbon | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2B | 11 | Diva Banker | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liberty Flame | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Freddymo Factor | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Vallarand | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dufresne | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Tempermental | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | M B’s Munning | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swifty Devil | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jester’s Song | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Rod Rumble | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hatch | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fight Fiercely | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grumley | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Luca | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold in Them Hills | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cool Quartet | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goldini | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pit Boss | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Co Conspirator | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Datesfreedom | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ach Du Lieber | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grumps Little Tots | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | What’s My Category | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Wicked | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Iridescent | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wecallemfuncoupons | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Augustine Red | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bonne Chance | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Remember the Name | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Banker | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Khadullah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Badlands Ruler | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Solo in Paris | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I’mhavingamoment | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Security Code | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Appeal | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Panther | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Icy Reply | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dame Cinco | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frau Diablo | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awillaway | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Proud Foot | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Everlys Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Accelerina | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostbustin | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turriga | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eastern Star | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Foxy Cara | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy’s Smile | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monetary Monarch | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Natural | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moonlit Weekend | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Krystalheir | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Jasmine | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.