Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fabulous Fox | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Blocks | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hannah Good | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Dantz | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirteen Red Flags | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dell Arte | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Youbetterbejoking | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrebato | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Larry | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tater and Tot | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scotto | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brennan’s War | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Alex | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Jerome S.) – Jerome S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drum Roll Please | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | El Grande O | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regalo | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drum Roll Please | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Khanate | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Soddy J | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lucency | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hero’s Medal | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Venge | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bolt d’Plata | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Triumphant Road | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Egypt | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diannesretiring | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rob the Bank | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Retail Man | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Braca | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savage Spirit | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Compute It | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Witheverything | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Captain Party | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Captain Party | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flying in Style | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Messi the Magician | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Friday I’m in Love | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scherzando | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paschal Moon | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flip’s Dream | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Business Model | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joey Freshwater | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jeff Fa Fa | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beachwalker | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Set Sail | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Oak | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Tryst | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Ladies S.) – Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saddle Up Jessie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evidencias (BRZ) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Mo Bubbly | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Know It All Audrey | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Comparative | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rayya Valentine | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heir Port | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nobodyridesforfree | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Phil | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Heat | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Striking Speed | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joker Boy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Can’t Beat Me | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | First Deputy | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.