Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Let’s Go Random 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Total Surprise 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Bello Creedo 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Runandhide Wind 3.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Full of Glory 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Oxxon 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Mesabi 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 One More Baby 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Thunder Road 4.50 7.5 14-1
8 8 Putthehammerdown 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tennessee Moon 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Mean American 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Midnight’s Girl 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Kiss Ride Goodbye 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Glance 2.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Gp’s Amazing Grace 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Talkabout 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lucky Bead Lady 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Starship Nola 5.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Gypsy Jackpot 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Charming Kat 4.50 7.3 14-1
12 12 Blueridgeballerina 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Sparkle City 12.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Mallory Unbridled 8.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Cupie Cutie 15.00 10 19-1
3 3 Dee’s Lil Fool 12.00 10.3 19-1
6 6 Grace’s Vision 20.00 11.7 22-1
8 8 Lookin Special 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Native Star 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Peanut N Ike 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Run On Aces 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 R T’s d’Oro 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Deal With Him 3.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Chief Kimosabi 15.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Make Your Destiny 8.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Toocan Dance 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hunters Ghost 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wise Anchor 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Coolcross 6.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Mias Moonbeam 5.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Big Money Machine 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Americain Joey 8.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Getcha 3.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Louis Le Grande 6.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Motataabeq 12.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Fast Verdict 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Marks Promise 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dazzlemesilver 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Jolly Tommy 1.80 4.2 8-1
5 5 Grunt 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Heza Pickle 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Knight Commander 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 American Smooth 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bless d’South 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 The Grey Beauty 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Just a Win 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Simple Sunday 3.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Iron Banner 4.50 7.7 15-1
9 9 Kappa Hill 10.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Elizabeth Renee 15.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 T R’s First 5.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Sadie’s Ransom 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Everlyn’s Angel 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Kan She 12.00 2 4-1
4 4 Nownowdancer 5.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 New Destiny 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 World of Hurt 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Dat Guitar 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Beat the Double 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Hopeshecanrun 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Molli Way 15.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Afleet Charlene 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jennysbigbaby 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bitsy’s Double Day 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Share the Doe 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 E R’s Mireya 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Scrappy 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Naturalbornsender 2.50 4.7 9-1
10 10 La Lola 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Kostroma’s Dancer 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 She’s the Sheriff 20.00 10 19-1
4 4 Serena’s Serenade 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.