Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Extra Dirty 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Next On Stage 1.40 1.3 2-1
2 2 E Stormy 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Unheard 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 She She’s Shadow 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Six Pack Senorita 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Wake Up Lauren 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shigeko 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Afilada 0.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Shasi 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Alterina 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Shaymyname 30.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Lemon Taffy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Trade Secret 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Suspended Campaign 1.40 1.4 3-1
5 5 Captivating Cara 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Towering Gaze 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Gringotts 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Darn That Song 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 More Mango 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Profitability 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Shore Time 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Perno 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Uptomykneesinit 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Crimson Light 1.60 3.3 6-1
8 8 Wonder Wonderland 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Vitalize 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Aelfgar 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Starry Midnight 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Vax 20.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Bon Adieu 2.00 1.6 3-1
1A 6 Saratoga Kisses 1.80 2.1 4-1
1 3 Kara Para 1.80 2.7 5-1
6 7 Racing Colors 8.00 4 7-1
7 8 Lady Fortuna 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Reigning Chick 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Le Bar 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Login Required 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Xcellent Men 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Authorize 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Ride On Cali 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Whenlovetakesover 10.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Play 4.50 7.9 15-1
8 8 War Stride 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Dot’s Dollar 4.50 1 2-1
1A 7 Saffa’s Day 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Bring Me a Check 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Printrack 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 One More Brew 15.00 3 6-1
7 8 Ryan’s Cat 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Allaboutthemoney 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 3 Thunderian 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Good Skate 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Olympic Dreams 1.80 2.7 5-1
1 1 I Am the Law 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Luigi’s Spirit 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Laughing Boy 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Carpenters Call 30.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Montauk Point 10.00 7 13-1
7 7 Midnight Trouble 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mo Damorninggrouch 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Frannie Lew 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Galatrona 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Practical Miss 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Dream On Cara 3.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Follow the Fed 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Army of Thoughts 4.50 6 11-1
4 4 Our Reward 30.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Maxing the Bank 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.