Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Memphis | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Mudville Nine | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Opportunity Set | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Collect From Ike | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Screw Loose | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 4 | South Street | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flash Kiss | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2B | 8 | Pine Valley | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cupids Girl | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Collector | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jackson Avenue | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simple Sugar | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High School Crush | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maddie’s Surprise | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wartapped | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gift Wrap | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Killy Start | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Beautiful Karen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | I’m Buzzy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie the Joker | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midtown Rose | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Our Little Tiger | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meraviglioso | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diva Banker | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Lilly | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slack Tide | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Roja Ligera | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Fist | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bern Rosey Bern | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lincolnville Beach | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mended We Stand | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lockbox | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fuligni | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Try It Again | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morethanafeeling | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Signal Corps | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shpilkes | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Locke and Key | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shared Success | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morethanafeeling | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Horse Be With You | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Leo and Royal | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aula | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amedeus Music | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Huntsman | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | La Girvina | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nyxed | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Risk Free | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Confirmed Star | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misintention | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allegedly | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Jersey Girl | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Downtown Mischief | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stonewall Star | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Peak of Chic | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Royal Poppy | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Starship Defiant | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Taming the Tigress | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Desert Dalliance | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bank On Anna | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Missy Greer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Going for Glory | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Mia Nipotina | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Mysaria | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Needed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Necessaryandproper | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Going for Glory | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mia Nipotina | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alotta Jays | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Layups | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamery | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Khali’s Storm | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mysaria | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rezoom | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Lawrence | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spicy Tuna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nigeria | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miss Nyquist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.