Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Highlander’s Edge | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tensas Lu Lu | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tarkington Girl | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Shot Louise | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gemmy | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Whistle | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mywarriorsprincess | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vote by Mail | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Moccasins | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kat’s Princess | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Magna Colors | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Sagey | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cayman Queen | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eagleoverthemoon | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m All Mixed Up | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pippa’s Prospect | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indy Lover | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Summer | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiffany’s Ferrari | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pip Squeek | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Good N Sassy | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Light Face | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bellamysawesomeday | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Circle Up | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Island Gold | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruled by Spirit | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C C Llam | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Run Bambi Run | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Salty Gal | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tdz Corrienda Star | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Vision | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hopeshecanrun | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Catalina | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gap Daddy | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Little Mia | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Payday Too | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incorrigible | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Go | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Verrazano First | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Honor My Speed | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapit’s Spirit | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taken Back | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Customize My Quest | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tappin Fora Dance | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Applewood | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| Payday Too | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Shorty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rite On Sam | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Speedy One | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legendary Dragon | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rumpusinthesky | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whatdidwedo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Ramirez | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frenetic Day | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brazen Bull | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoey’s Hippie | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tripple D Ruller | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mayfield Strong | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Son Carlos | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aux Arcs | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Graphene Cassock | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Egor Otay | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saucy Argument | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gloria’s Boy | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flattersolution | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bellamy Brother | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Doce de la Noche | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D’festive Cat | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zapaway | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Numero Uno | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mustbelieve | 4.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Uncle Billy | 4.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying in Hot | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.