Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Piccolo Diavolo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Game Misconduct | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Man Woody | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Star Boy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heard On Thestreet | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Trumpet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Commerce Comet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Midnight Worker | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Moving Pictures | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Save | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Charger | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Union Lights | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mach One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Norgay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Calling an Audible | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holder Close | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Spin | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Concerto | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sendera | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidon’s Mist | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Keystone Field | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Calling | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thunderian | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Night | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alternate Reality | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gentleman Joe | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jemography | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Digital | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | True Empress | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harlan’s Bond | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Linzee | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Voleuse | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dashing Della | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queens Over Threes | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yankee Agate | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lavon | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ikigai | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Engine | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Casanova | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bronx Bomber | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Air Show | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon’s Hope | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Braciole | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Swiftsure | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Factor It In | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Nova Rags | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Spun and Won | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Twenty Four Mamba | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Divine Armor | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Fluid Situation | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Gut Feeling | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Forest | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Apollo Rising | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Seeking Unity | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Centavo | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Rungius | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Masterwork | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Stjames | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 1 | What a Blast | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Blu Grotto | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.