Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Livehappy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Have You Heard | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tuscan Sky | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skyler’s Artemis | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ambition | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Connection | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | President Z | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Natural Harbor | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magnificent Mile | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Kant Beat the Rock | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Spirit | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dark Vector | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clubhouse | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kentucky Joker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shelly | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Splendid One | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malu | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Montauk Mystique | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teresa | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Class Cat | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lem Me Drink | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Purest Performance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Wisdom | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neptune Beach | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Central | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seba M | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Step On It | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hoya | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hair On Fire | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dillon | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Berning Beauty | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sahanatien | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ava’s Uncle Billy | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Inspeightoftrainer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disappearance | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anthracite | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zapruder | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Complete Agenda | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock the Weekend | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Proven Hope | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strong Light | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Predicted | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Busanda S.) – Busanda S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gin Gin | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Gin Gin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Most of All | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shimmering Allure | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Mayfair | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Class Act | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Please Be Nice | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waralo | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Safalow’s Mission | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Cent Town | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Agility | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quick to Accuse | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kid Billy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doc Advantage | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Messi the Magician | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Expected Value | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cascais | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whittington Park | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Principe d’Oro | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mama’s Gold | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silo Ridge | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Certified Loverboy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostlyprince | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Just Call Ray | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Skylander | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Gamble | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Big Torpedo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vin Santo | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inonit | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Pharaoh | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prophetic | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Margarita | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eric From Miami | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outtawaterbury | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Swept | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Manny Penny | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Word Score | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.