Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Blast | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | South Coast Route | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Spin | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Godsend | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Carlos | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Edge | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King of Mischief | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Happy in Heels | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Ace | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Finishwhatustarted | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shacked Stateside | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Custom Darling | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lunch Lady | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marina | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Savannah’s Here | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | C F Henry | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Speed | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Threeofakind | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokey G | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lexington River | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half Guilty | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Star | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Magawildtime | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extirpator | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alleva | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Veterans Day | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Vista | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uptown Social | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashing Angelbaby | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scrappy Artie | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Quality | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Violent City | 2.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mariah | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taylors Magic | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saucy Six | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Back Street Baby | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simultaneity | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lyrical Pardon | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Isabel | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hayai Uma | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brave City Girl | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serape | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Myfriendsawinner | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’wild Muffin | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dolly’s Guitar | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Track Smart | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suzy Doll’s Ready | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commercial Flash | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Eddie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seehoss | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manly Deeds | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Throwin’ Shade | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jeffrow | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Credo | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bleep Bleep | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inspector Ed | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joey’s Lightening | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lagoon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Janets Jay Jay | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Edge Sword | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rithm Nic | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Custom Deelite | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Cool | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ahimaaz | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copter | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gloria’s Boy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Work All Day | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red On the Head | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildcats’s Meow | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Country Cat Jake | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arkansas Zong | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crafty One | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Brave Ride | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Zong | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Toast to the Girls | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.