Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magic Tap | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Bias | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tahoe Run | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winters Lion | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Minister | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ethereal Road | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | O P Firecracker | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bradford | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brahms Image | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Benny | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Luck Henry | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chez Whiz | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Moneystrike | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kissofthenile | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Singing Groom | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Cool and Cloudy | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bet On Tiz | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boots N Bourbon | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Devil’s Shadow | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blowout Mountain | 30.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Streakin Deacon | 4.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Aficionado | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bye Bye Liam | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Waldrip | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Play the Trumpet | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Joe Joe | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Power Slam | 2.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bell Dozer | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Tavern | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lykan | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luv to Win | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colt Fiction | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solidify | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackman | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upstriker | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tropic Storm | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trigger Happy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speedtail | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Magnifico | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jacked | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Penrod | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sitka | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Common Defense | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ask Willie | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Charleston | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Elko County | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Give Me Liberty | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Native Land | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Justifiably So | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Flight | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Pattern | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shooters Shoot | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ethical Judgement | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frosted Grace | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Greener Pastures | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pats Property | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Expensive Cut | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Uninvited Guest | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Search Engine | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mozingo | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Run Fearless | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Shoes | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gramercy Park | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Connie K | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Twister | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kaboom Baby | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Storming | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kantex | 2.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hissy Missy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Smart | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sicilian Grandma | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Delphia | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harmonica | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lover Girl | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Savi | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marshside Mama | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Paris Style (FR) | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pachanga Loca | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Longleggedlaverne | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triple L’s Cutter | 4.50 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Unstable Princess | 20.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Lily | 15.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Commander | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mockingbird S.) – Mockingbird S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tanya Showers | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midshipman’s Dance | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Tune | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Gal | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Xtreme Smoke Show | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edistrudis | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Hat Willie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Juilliard | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nullarbor | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Russell | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King’s Ovation | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elusive Target | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chrome Baby | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hern | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Megan’s Honor | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Hush This | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Speightsville | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Late Nite Radio | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seaside Boy | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bizzy Legs | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.