Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Citizen Mack 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Grand Again 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Vaunted 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Pine Alley 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Creation of Adam 1.60 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sondsliksomdiniddo 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Daughter of Time 0 0-1
5 5 Mitole Magic 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dorothy’s Dreams 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Tiarella 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Daughter of Time 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Monarch 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Jezebel 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 4 Pretti Xtreme 3.00 1 2-1
4 5 Fontanafredda 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Run Devil 2.50 2.4 5-1
7 8 Sister Linda 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 7 Dreamawayseven 10.00 3.7 7-1
1A 3 Suspended Campaign 2.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Halo City 4.50 SCRATCH
5 6 Cinderella’s Cause 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coppa Girl 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Pharoah’s Heart 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Whistler’s Style 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Mursal 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Caragate 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Vienna Code 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Night Effect 0.80 1 2-1
8 8 Happy Bob 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Bold Looker 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mudville Nine 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Sorpreso 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Steady Progress 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Papi On Ice 30.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Uncle Water Flow 8.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Mama Banned Me 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Book of Wisdom 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Carol T 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Zhen Lou 30.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Troubled Luck 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Rumint 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Apollonia C 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 The Shoe Lady 2.50 5.9 11-1
7 7 Dulce Nina 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Ocean’s Reserve 2.50 1 2-1
7 8 Daufuskie Island 5.00 1.3 2-1
1A 3 Kunshan Bridge 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 7 Kupp 10.00 2.2 4-1
2B 10 Savings Rate 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Luni Sima 15.00 5 9-1
5 6 Narciso Dali 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Critical Threat 4.50 6.5 12-1
2 4 Reserve Currency 3.00 7.3 14-1
4 5 Got Thunder 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Franklin Square S.) – Franklin Square S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cara’s Time 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sweet Brown Sugar 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 My Mane Squeeze 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Bernietakescharge 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Tricky Temper 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Flight Control 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Unicorn Cake 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Soloshot 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Financial District 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Drinking Solo 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 A Knight’s Courage 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Arco Augusta 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 The Delaware Boyz 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Go Grad 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Spicy Tuna 5.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Reedy Falls 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Free Folk 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.