Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Face It Alone | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | True Sunshine | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Momma’s Lino | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bootsy’s Merlot | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wait for Tomorrow | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neolithica | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lisa’s Palace | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wild Behavior | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rahmer | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Manner | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Commanding General | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crownedcountcristo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remembering Wilbur | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Hambone | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sansa Ariel | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hazelmoor Beach | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fancee Grace C | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sullivan Street | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ellie Victorina | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gwynedd | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Earley Rose | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blame the Tux | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nancy Made My Day | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prado Road | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Proof | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Way Traffic | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Force of Justice | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Burningupthedough | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Find Faith | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amity Road | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | John Hall | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Too | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goodafternoonoscar | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full Irish | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pressing Concern | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Renegade | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | St. Jude | 1.60 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blue Trillion | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Confluence Lassie | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ghostly Anna | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Duela Dent | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Bond | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shared Authority | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | T C Neigh | 1.80 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grace in Excess | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Macchina Rossa | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Ciella | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Harriett | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chublin | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dwelling Legacy | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Still Game | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bunny Hop | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You Can’t Win | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Simply Stated | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Vixen | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Renee | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Zeta | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Flicker | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Continentalcongres | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Wildcat | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Photo Hop | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jumpingjaggerflash | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surfboard | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eyes Eleven | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chica Chuck | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dashing d’Artagnan | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingdom Force | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.