Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Out Dancing | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ambitiously Placed | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suiko | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summary Judgment | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Jane | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Not a Trace | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Pride | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tonala | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | North Pole | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fictionalfairytale | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scamp Walker | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carnivore | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Booster Shot | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Party News | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Lion | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Speaks Well | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flashing Diamond | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Merrabel | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gia’s Fuego | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boca Royalty | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Isabella Smile | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vanishing Faith | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Creme Caramel | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Standpoint | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addyson’s Dream | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carcharoth | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clancy O’Toole | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zona de Amigos | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biagio | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Utility | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eff Thirty Five | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wynn Giant | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Louie’s Law | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Cat | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Big Dreams | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kabod | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runnin Joke | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Staff Sergeant | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disturbed | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | W. P. Cadet | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cup of Life | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Road to Dreams | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Popthechampagne Ro | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mythreebutterflies | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Takestwotowiggle | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cinnamon Dream | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Misquillo | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Maria | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sirenetta | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Matty Bo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cedar Valley | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Random Luck | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie B Good | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bullet On Tap | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caliente Rum | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Now Act Surprised | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So Swell | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Furmanator | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Sicaria | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amore d’Oro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie Felson | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Evasive Moves | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Distraction | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luka D | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretorian Gold | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rossington | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Action Hero | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gagetown | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baafeed | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Farm | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Powerfully Built | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violent Turbulence | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Valley | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neigh Dude | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capt. Candy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sea Trident | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Brook | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Veselsky | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Or Bull | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bubby Papermaker | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sette Stelle | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Merging Traffic | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lord Seabee | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mob Justice | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cauteloso | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Principe | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.