Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prugova | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Time to Dream | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allegedly | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiescent | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belle of the Ball | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep It Sexy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Anything Pazible | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Critical Threat | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince James | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flamingo Hawk | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Datesfreedom | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Joy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | One More Brew | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mason Mania | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Frontier | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy Knows | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Banker | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allaboutthemoney | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Digital | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pit Boss | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| Digital | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aaraj | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a Blast | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Newport Bridge | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battuta d’Oro | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notah | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby the Tank | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | G Munning | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad to the Bones | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stop Giggling | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Jackson | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Girl Jal | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roman Goddess | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anileate | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twist Her | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Principessa | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Awesome | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mouly | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Flint Ridge | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 3 | Lobsta | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 2 | Jemography | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Life Changer | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 6 | Business Model | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 5 | American Gentleman | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scilly Cay | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Sagamore Mischief | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 4 | Royal Tryst | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2B | 10 | Majestic Eagle | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | George’s Vice | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mim | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highway Harmony | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sandy’s Garden | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Easy Play | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostbustin | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Try It Again | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Voleuse | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freddymo Factor | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Tabeguache | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | No Burn | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Guntown | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Olympic Dreams | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winit | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Law Professor | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forewarned | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Laughing Boy | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Quality Chic | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Watch Hill | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dolly’s Bank | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Escape Key | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fluorescent Bay | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Charming Jim | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Compromiser | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runandscore | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | October Bliss | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lookin’ to Win | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Waflr | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sin Nombre | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Munny for Nuthin | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.