Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Loneshilohspecial | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Is Hot | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knights Sword | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Say What | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brave City Girl | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holy War | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twn Ms Midship | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sophie’s Prayer | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| Twn Ms Midship | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gone Solution | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Razz | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deal With Him | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proudtown | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gtuone Buck | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soulology | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clever Prince | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saucy Argument | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pac the Pulpit | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reginald Aurelius | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Lucky Break | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wind of War | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffany’s Ferrari | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She Badger | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Hot Storm | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Discreet Deal | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Faye L. | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Legged Lady | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tuscan Rules | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Saint | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dance Lady | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Longleggedlaverne | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Wish for Madelyn | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cashew | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashley’s Girl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Batty | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | New Year’s Party | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cherokee Summer | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harlans Warrior | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gp’s Amazing Grace | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dylan’s Dream | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rona Vision | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run for Joy | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Back Street Baby | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tall Tale | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Linda Faye | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mallory Unbridled | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aspen Link | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valerie’s Chance | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rap Artist | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reckless Ransom | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corot | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lion Heart Legend | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Prado | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Bella Brown | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alyanaabi | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Heza Priority | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preacher | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wonder Run | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Bow | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forgotten Fortune | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Need Some Money | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Glass | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight’s Girl | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calabrian Queen | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broken Hearts Bay | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady With a Cause | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Xcaret | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Diamond | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Absolutely | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Victor Aly | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joseph H | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Speedy One | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deroy | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Terni Valentino | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top Priority | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes Jack | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Pajaro Loco | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Ramirez | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.