Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Memes | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon On Fire | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancin Rocket | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Motown Collection | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Brother Mike | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shady Daredevil | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Honor | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cadillac Cowboy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Money Mo | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Light Horse Harry | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amazing Success | 30.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Nacho Chrome | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Motown Music | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Antigravity | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Get Back Goldie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Legend | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bizzy Legs | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beaver Hat | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Home Visit | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Make Noise | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colosi | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Humor Me Now | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commander Rex | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runningforcash | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Levy | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Colonel Barton | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Vincenzino | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Assumption | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Legendary Lore | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heir to Greatness | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fetchs Brahm | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Howl Yeah | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Unstable Prince | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Point Blank | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Traffic Boss | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blue Squall | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Clancy | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feelin My Oats | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Muffin | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Generous Lover | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Fire | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Callin for Dollars | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bellaju | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Popperina | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Equilove (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome View | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Koala | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mia Baby | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spoiled Rotten | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scarlet Position | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Essential Business | 1.60 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lichita | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ball Gown | 4.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chasing Shadows | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Derby Day Lassie | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Taking Charge Desi | 6.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neversaynoletsgo | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chaparrita | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | God’s Country | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empyreal Shadow | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hayahlookatme | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burlsworth | 6.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ryno Wrecker | 3.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devils Fork | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Big Andy Mort | 12.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Macho Striker | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hit Scene | 2.50 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Welcometoarkansas | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s a Rainy Day | 30.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yeagers Strategy | 15.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Green Lights | 15.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Haulin Ice | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Invariably | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Must Be Love | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tungsten | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cartel Queen | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roman Giant | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Sharpie | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warhorse West | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Choctaw | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hallow Point | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Tap | 3.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chelsea Dagger | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Chisholm Trail | 20.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Galactic Empire | 20.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rackataptap | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | When I Look At You | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritual Lady | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy N Smiling | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | No Pay No Hay | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s Not a Joke | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Miss | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Big Calhouna | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | All Things Go | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bent Halo | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catholic Sue | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Safecracker Sue | 50.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Intrusion | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Happy Is a Choice | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plausible Denile | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Bash | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Media Mogul | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Halmstad | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Distorted Pro | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B Minor | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Shoes | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Again | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Afleet Sky | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Houdini | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lips Say Bliss | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Full Screen | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Escapologist | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | U. S. Army | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trident Hit | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alejandro | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winnemac Avenue | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notary | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Logical Myth | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Armagnac | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ethical Judgement | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Boss | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ardanwood | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Uninvited Guest | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| Ballroom Prince | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.