Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jsk Lucky’s Pushpa | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Argentina Girl | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Civil Notion | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | True Phenomenon | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Party | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lost Luggage | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collective Gold | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Groove | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onthisharvestmoon | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Go Chloe Go | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alma Brilha | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Summersattheshore | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mummalicious | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apollonia Vitelli | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cashpoint | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Sierva C | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Molly Malone | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamingoffreedom | 4.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Bay Birdie | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Udidn’tpay | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Soulful Tara | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mamma Mia Esterina | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Culpa Blanco | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One of the Ones | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Misstique | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Practical Rachel | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wine Goddess | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamaican Mi Hazel | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Just Stay Home | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ambitiously Placed | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summary Judgment | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | More Ransom | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Not a Trace | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creme Caramel | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Jane | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Pride | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Bit Bad N Boujee | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tonala | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mil Doscientos | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Give Me My Money | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Devil | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eddiemush | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charger | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Modern Midas | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boys and Bullets | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chip’s Friend | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hometown Hero | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Upfor Parole | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Freebee | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Whiskeymac | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Western Dream | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Sophie | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liplock | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salagadoola | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peach Perfect | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bunny Bonus | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Connelmaura | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ipsum Gratus | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Peyton’s College | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Chamita | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| Western Dream | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Winning Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Red | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Counterspy | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keithsendshelloooo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not Normal | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bump N Run | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capital Conquest | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guapo Again (ARG) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Offaly Cool | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Exit | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Michael | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adero | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Didinger | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Rain | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simovitch | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twilight Dancer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maximus Meridius | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capo | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Tones | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kelly’s Kidz | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rubys Flash | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rumaway | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bali Amour | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Word On a Wing | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Return | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Splicethemainbrace | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Chateau | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Brown Shoes | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Charlie Five O | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fatih | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Neigh Dude | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Big John | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Bob | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dathoss | 8.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie’s Two Stents | 4.50 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jebologist | 10.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pylon | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.