Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 1, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cced for Steph 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Why Wait 20.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Cajun Gumbow 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Flashyboy’s Lilsis 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Loyal to the Chief 3.50 6.9 13-1
8 8 What Can I Say 3.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Sadie’s Ransom 12.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Crypto Brave 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Katie’s C 6.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Mydealoftheday 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Northernreflection 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Fiery Playboy 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Wise Anchor 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Waitin’ On a Woman 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Win Ya Win 3.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Crusader Express 4.50 7.4 14-1
3 3 Mucho Marvin 12.00 8 15-1
4 4 Cherokee Takeover 4.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Bibleman 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bizzee Channel 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Twoko Bay 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Grey Streak 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Palace Kitten 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Optimus Kat 4.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Smokey Harbor 4.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Telephone Talker 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Silent Power 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Haleys Sailor 10.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 Wicked Trick 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Purple Octopus 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Performance Plus 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Summer in Aiken 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Free Drop Rob 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Taysom 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Strong Diamond 30.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Dustin the Diamond 6.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Beer With Ice 6.00 8 15-1
9 9 High Enough 3.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Solomon Vandy 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Regimental 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Cesnola 20.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Brown Liquor Man 4.50 4 7-1
11 11 Mo Saturdays 3.50 6.8 13-1
10 10 God of Wine 8.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Bel Ami 4.50 8.6 16-1
7 7 Gemstone Warrior 30.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Talk of the Town 12.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Fear of Union 12.00 11.4 21-1
12 12 My Tennis Shoes 30.00 11.4 22-1
9 9 Ringside 6.00 12.7 24-1
13 13 Sweet Present 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Verb 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lunar Module 8.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Gold Crusher 12.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 High Cruise 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Thinkaboutit 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Prisoner 3.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 All West 4.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Tiger Dad 8.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Topper T 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sri Lanka 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Playmate 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Liffey 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Default 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bag Lady 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Classic Claire 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Noble Bernadette 3.50 7.5 14-1
1 1 Violet Flame 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Laughing Out Loud 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Justify Perfection 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Upon a Star 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Bubbling Up 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mugen 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Tipsy Tammy 1.60 4.1 8-1
4 4 Golden Degree 10.00 5.8 11-1
Justify Perfection 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Reagan’s Flame 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Way to Be Marie 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Pink Polkadots 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Broughty Ferry 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Livi Me Dreaming 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Lady Helena 6.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Marshamarshamarsha 5.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Doesn’thurttoflirt 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A G’s Gem 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Involvednteraction 12.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Canal St. Cupid 12.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Yockey Doodledandy 12.00 4 7-1
5 5 Jack the Whistle 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Bolie 5.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Skinny Bobby 3.00 7 13-1
2 2 Breaking Star 6.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Takeover Fiftyfour 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.