Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 2, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eurostorm 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Emilyhasherturn 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Betonya 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Steal Me Over 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Flash It Wide Open 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Our Indian Girl 4.50 6.6 12-1
6 6 Truthrdaar 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Debs Prayer 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fitts N Starts 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Oak Hill Seniorita 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 War Tourist 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Danas Mule 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Nice Like Michelle 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Sum Charm 8.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Scarlet Storm 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Peso in My Pocket 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lyrical Poet 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Fireinthestorm 30.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Channel Won 2.50 6.1 12-1
10 10 Alicia’s Kid 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Robo 8.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Seven Scents 5.00 8 15-1
11 11 Silver Wings 5.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Men of Kyle 12.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Tough Charlie 6.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Hooray Austin 6.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dessert First 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Dreaming Always 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Purrfect Moon 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Mahomebred 2.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Lassarock 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Hey Madalyn Claire 4.50 6 11-1
3 3 Secret Melody 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Brightnmorningstar 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Righthere Rightnow 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Anger Rising 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Sagittarius 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Papa Jojo 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Caroom 3.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Bolt From Above 4.00 7 13-1
1 1 Rockstar Red 6.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Now Ima Believer 8.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Beaumont Red 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Anders Smile 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 City of Love 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Commander Scott 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Cajun Crazy 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Courtman 4.50 5 9-1
3 3 Jeffrow 4.00 5 9-1
8 8 Angelic Knight 3.50 6.4 12-1
7 7 Go Brother Go 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Berlaine 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Clearly Copper 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Silverheels 15.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Money Works 10.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Love Light 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Oh Macarena 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 A Lil Psychotic 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Elodine 12.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Taylors Magic 6.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 English Luna 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Signing 12.00 8.5 16-1
15 15 Casby 20.00 10.1 19-1
8 8 Controlled Temper 4.50 11.2 21-1
4 4 Not Tonight Joe 12.00 12.1 23-1
14 14 Bikini Bottom 12.00 13.7 26-1
16 16 Purring 6.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Starport 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shawn’s Solving 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Country Guy 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Twofexusnexus 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Vero Campione 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Calibrachoamatters 1.80 5.4 10-1
5 5 Josan 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Colt’s Brim 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.