Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Commerce Comet | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Call Ray | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ryan’s Cat | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Tycoon | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brazillionaire | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Four Eyes | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Express | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Party | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Qorokwe | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Support the Cat | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Outcome | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpha Sonny | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Arc | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | English Storm | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Chrome | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Timely Conquest | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peak of Chic | 1.40 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harlan’s Bond | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tempermental | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruvies in Time | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eros’s Girl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Montebello | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Face Abarrio | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Cay | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anthracite | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hatch | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Worker | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rock the Weekend | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kuchar | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Skate | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Works | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leading Contender | 0.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Optic Way | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Shore Time | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Fratellino | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aelfgar | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sorority Prank | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Liberty Central | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavyweight Champs | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swept | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Red Flyer | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He Has It All | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Jaximus | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Nineteen Oysters | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Very Debonaire | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Opportunity Set | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Blue Plate Special | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Full Complement | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Ice Road | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Flashy Alex | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Scotto | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bargaining Power | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Deputy Connect | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Basic Truth | 50.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Sorpreso | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| Jess Miss Alice | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Toboggan S.) – Toboggan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Murray | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinetic Sky | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Chow | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skylander | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manny Wah | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stage Left | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Armor | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Withers S.) – Withers S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lightline | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Grande O | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seminole Chief | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deposition | 50.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mission Beach | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Runner | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Khanate | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Heavy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Society Man | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| Uncle Heavy | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Lawrence | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zhen Lou | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Nyquist | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rezoom | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alotta Jays | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Amy’s Light | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Magic | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Love Like Crazy | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jay’s Love | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mastery’s Secret | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mambagigi | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Glo | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mother Mary | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.