Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Baby Jane 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lady Cheryl’s Song 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Jet Rocket 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Geaux Maw P 2.50 6.7 13-1
10 10 Wonderrand 5.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Unknown Caller 15.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 F J’s Chaos 8.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Getoutofdaway 12.00 10.5 20-1
6 6 Secretly Sweet 12.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 Lyrical Belle 8.00 10.7 20-1
9 9 Five Leaf Clover 20.00 10.8 20-1
3 3 Half Off Half 3.50 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (La Bred Premier Distaff S.) – La Bred Premier Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Free Like a Girl 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Vale Male 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Tensas Candy 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Thetruthisthetruth 4.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Wholelottamo 12.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 World War 5.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Lovers Never Say 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Our Little Girl 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (La Bred Premier Matron S.) – La Bred Premier Matron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Basalt Street 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Won Day 5.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Charlie T 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Luyv 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Rue Lala 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Flashy Meg 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Blessed Assurance 6.00 4.1 8-1
Hurrying Home 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Stakes) – Starter Stakes

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Muchmorethanready 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 R T’s Gem 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Pickin Ana Grinnin 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 She’s Gone d’Wild 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Georgia Dawn 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Serape 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Megans Millions 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 El Caliente Lady 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Girl Thirsty 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Stakes) – Starter Stakes

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miss Charlie Gras 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Myfriendsawinner 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Bet On Bourbon 6.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Summer Is Hot 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 For Real Alice 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Serape 4.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Dolly’s Guitar 12.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 D’wild Muffin 12.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Commercial Flash 5.00 9.8 18-1
9 9 Bind On Earth 15.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Lil Adeau 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (La Bred Premier Championship S.) – La Bred Premier Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Touchuponastar 0.60 1 2-1
4 4 Play Mo 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Wise Verdict 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cosmic Train 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Woods N Water 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Ballinonabudjet 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Stakes) – Starter Stakes

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Prado’s Priority 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Izzy’s Baby Boy 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Heza Pickle 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Muffin Nuts 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Field of Vision 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hot Le Roy 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Throwin’ Shade 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Doctor Leo 5.00 7 13-1
3 3 Mr. Four Sevens 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (La Bred Premier Starlet S.) – La Bred Premier Starlet S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Plum Wine 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Emily’s Bullet 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Pip Squeek 12.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Guitar Solo 1.20 2.2 4-1
6 6 Lightofmaine 6.00 4 7-1
7 7 Magnolia Avenue 4.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Communicationiskey 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Take Her Away 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Front and Silver 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (La Bred Premier Prince S.) – La Bred Premier Prince S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Spinning Aces 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 El Dinero 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Good and Stout 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Runlikecarl 15.00 4 7-1
7 7 Otra Cosa 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Brittany’s Dream 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Stovall 5.00 6 11-1
4 4 Take Charge J J 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Tdzshininluckystar 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (La Bred Premier Sprint S.) – La Bred Premier Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Geaux Sugar 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bron and Brow 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Alterana 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Marks Promise 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Prizeless 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Not On Herb 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Black Sword 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Pickens 20.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 My Pal Mattie 10.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Autumns Strong Man 20.00 10 19-1
11 11 Wild Bert 10.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Stakes) – Starter Stakes

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hostile Afleet 5.00 1 2-1
11 11 Adieu Aces 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Double Barrel Man 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Draft Choice 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Risky Priority 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Mr. Four Sevens 8.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Golden Palace 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Hail State 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Sharp Charlie 3.50 7.4 14-1
10 10 Half Ours N Stormy 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Custom Blue Grass 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.