Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kahala 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Path to Success 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Bubba Can Dance 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 5 Absolute Courage 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Lil Bro Coop 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Mr Midway 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baby Jane 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 C C Senora 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Holy Moly Shipman 12.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Miss Rosie 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Radiant Rebel 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Clearly Creeps 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Awree 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Bayou Bertie 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 For Harper 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 A G’s Charlotte 1.60 3.3 6-1
6 6 Highly Wicked 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Tincandance 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Speedy Dudette 5.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Cheapskate Diva 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Fort Polk 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Little Blaze 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Thisonesforlove 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 She’s Jersey Tuff 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Hurricane Lassie 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Savage Darling 2.50 6.6 13-1
7 7 First Love 3.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Bedowntofoolaround 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Slick and Fast 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Malaki Empire 15.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Charlie G 4.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Tonteria 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Single Shot 6.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Afleet Ascent 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Guitartuition Plzz 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Mi Solution 3.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Scoring Drive 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Dude Drop Kid 8.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Sonya Knows Better 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 15.00 7.5 14-1
13 13 I Don’t Venmo 3.50 8 15-1
14 14 Pacificislandtime 3.50 9 17-1
Pacificislandtime 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wupkar 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sweet Shild O Mine 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Carry On 12.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Miss Shipman 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Box of Pictures 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Coexist 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Speedy Traveler 2.00 5.2 10-1
Coexist 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Custom Bobby’s 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Cash Fever 4.50 2 4-1
12 12 Mesa Spirit 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Son of a Birch 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Bench 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Western Command 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Musical Spell 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Dazzlemesilver 10.00 5 10-1
9 9 Battle Scars 8.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 True Jedi 12.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Zippin Gigi 4.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Gunner Bay 10.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Unified Alliance 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Happy Am I 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Rastani 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Woohoo Jackie Blue 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Charriere 3.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Rose Palace 4.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Santa Fe Gold 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 St. Armands Key 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Le Gris 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Mighty Kai 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Hawks Creek 6.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Camaro Z 4.50 7.7 15-1
3 3 Gorilla Trek 4.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 McAvoy 6.00 8 15-1
5 5 Malibu Rain 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Tulsa 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Saint Eros Girl 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Miss Melody 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Yolanda Who 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Wait On Me 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Need Some Money 4.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Sikum 10.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Kyle Beauty 12.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Lily’s Woofy 8.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Madam Henny 12.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Carson’s Princess 12.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.