Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Runninthestreets | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adamantly | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Painter | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Melania T | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Coincidences | 1.60 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Q’s Your Mama | 5.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Linnie Mae | 4.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildwood Queen | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Woopig | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Who Lu | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Air Castle | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Cosmic Chic | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Ember | 12.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Predicting | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Favorite Outlaw | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Camp Daddy | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sinner’s Sin | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bohemian Bo | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Startdfromdabottom | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer in Malibu | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B Sudd | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Secret Pocket | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Juilliard | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Life Is a Banquet | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manta Rey | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cold as Hell | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| Secret Pocket | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Atta Party | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Where’s Randy | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Macho Rocco | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Heated Argument | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Taxes | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Topf Road Rules | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stuck N Snow | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Al’s Romeo | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Choctaw Zip | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Holus Bolus | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marvelous Thunder | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shake Up | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rudiano | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Native Moonshine | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Jalen Run | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Fillip | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excitable Boy | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mohawk River | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Bid | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frankensteiner | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Daily Grind | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morunning | 2.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Grey | 6.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Maravich | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aztec Fire | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Gonna Be All Right | 15.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Grand Emperor | 10.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sesame Streek | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jackman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shady Empire | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stage Left | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mac Daddy Too | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vulcan | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tee Burns | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macron | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rob the Rich | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Breslau | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joe Frazier | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tropic Storm | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Efficiency | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speedtail | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dimatic | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promissio | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gotta Have Dreams | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | J J’s Ranger | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Give Me Liberty | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Manfredi | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wreck It | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tornado Road | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thousand Springs | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Dispatch | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Take It | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zeitlos | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kantex | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sarah Harper | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m the Boss of Me | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Traverse | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collected Glory | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aunt Becca | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dealing Justice | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backyard Money | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Verylittlecents | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Halaga | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| Zeitlos | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (King Cotton S.) – King Cotton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Skelly | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Excess Magic | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tejano Twist | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miles Ahead | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jaxon Traveler | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edge to Edge | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Osbourne | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ryvit | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Martha Washington S.) – Martha Washington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Denim and Pearls | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Gal | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neom Beach | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Jenallie | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Band of Gold | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promisemeanempire | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | In Good Taste | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Secret | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hush It Honey | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| Band of Gold | 11 | 21-1 | |||
| Band of Gold | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (American Beauty S.) – American Beauty S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alva Starr | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Class | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adaline Julia | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Condensation | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Spa | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chandana | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Arlington | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Be Clear | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Demi | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Southwest S.) – Southwest S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carbone | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Otto the Conqueror | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liberal Arts | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mystik Dan | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Road | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Linebacker | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maycocks Bay | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Common Defense | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Just Steel | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wynstock | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Grant | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charleston | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| Just Steel | 14 | 26-1 | |||
| Liberal Arts | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Alexander Helios | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tirico | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ten Days Later | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmo | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Next Revolt | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pledgeofallegiance | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Polterer | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chrome Baby | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Machine Gun Man | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Target | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catdaddy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Woodcock Flight (IRE) | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.