Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Box N Ben | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Notion | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rennie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battle of Bastogne | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hampden Lane | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moncrief | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hap’s Victory | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kick Startness | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landslide Is Home | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sin Permiso | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aves Makin’ Waves | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chochocho | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hundred Proof | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get Like Mike | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Had Enough | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tik Tok Daddy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Galatians | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ace Nine Nine | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paradise Pride | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remembering Wilbur | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brasstown | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Silver | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiny Tin | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | By the Glass | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overmuch | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Vinno | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Chick | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ziffy Bug | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Easter Sunday Girl | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jess’s Gypsy Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proper Storm | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never Done | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Please Marry Me | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anath | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Earley Rose | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She So Cool | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Buckin’ Lucky | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | R B’s Big Moment | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Notafraidtocharge | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grace in Excess | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bacall | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tohonorstelle | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missy Boss | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cundi | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amorica | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Valley Star | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Appeal | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mystic Seaport | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Serenity | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Supream | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidewright Away | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Shugs | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Touisset | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catahoula Moon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Had to Have Him | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame the Tux | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Force of Justice | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dalinar | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nancy Made My Day | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point Dume | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joe the Jet | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Medagooch | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Come Rain Or Shine | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vilaluz | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pealing Lad | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indecent Behavior | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bruder | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.