Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hooray for Credit | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evie’s Encore | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Taboo | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Is Time | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fashion Idol | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance My Way | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Dame | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cry If I Want To | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Babe in the Woods | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Rag | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spite Lite | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | California Code | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bump in the Night | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gi Gis Map | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amoureux | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miwoman | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | De De’s Bird | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Doughty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Strategy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Petula | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coromandel | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pat’s Gal | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Thursday Morning | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | K J’s Pistol Annie | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smarty’s Angel | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bootlegging Girl | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be My Huckleberry | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Courageous Cappen | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elmo’s Secret | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dixie Girl To | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Blondes Havemo Fun | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tim Tal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fan the Fire | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Funny Uncle | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Asymmetric | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Line Overdrive | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shuffle Dance | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red D G P | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Western Ghent | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lundberg | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Bourbon On Fire | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Peel | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Third Watch | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dario | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scott City | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ima Fun Guy | 4.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Heavenly Gift | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Seeker | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preacher’s Kid | 6.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Xkuz | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tommy Tri | 50.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stauf | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Preparedness | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Berryville Bullet | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Distinctive | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rock Star Parking | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shaniah | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artistic Vision | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Equilove (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Distorted Secrets | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Diva Treva | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Everyotherwon | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neversaynoletsgo | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cost a Fortune | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flowersforshantell | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Windy Slew | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Luna Moth | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sicilian Grandma | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indy Again | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Delphia | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thestral | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shezz Koldazice | 1.40 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highly Creative | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Laughter | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Simona’s Choice | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C. C. Harbor | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kaboom Baby | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sulwe | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Connie K | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gramercy Park | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hamazing Debate | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Twister | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Too Pretty | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Springs Bling | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hissy Missy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Windy Bay | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Academic Honor | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stoic Luna | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One More Kelly | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lover Girl | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Demi | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Disco | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 14 | Accelerating Babe | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Adiva | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Natural Touch | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Getoutofmykitchen | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Creditor | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Pink Chimes | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Differently | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Double | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Choctaw Blessings | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Babas Gal | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Graceful Moon | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | April Flower Bound | 30.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exhi Lil Darlin | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Cowgirl Camille | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.