Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 8, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Run Dreaming 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Wake Up Dolores 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Mia Antonia 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Sparkle City 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Hey You 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Talkabout 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Dreamed I Am Fast 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Princess Moccasins 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Scooteranddabigman 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Creme de Bali 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Let’s Go Random 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Lord Dylan 4.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Reverent 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Uncle Nick 4.50 6.6 12-1
8 8 Carlos Punch 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Roll On Out 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Seven Channels 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Group Eighteen 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 High Tide 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Awe Shackle 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Bourbon Day 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Soul Coaxing 4.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Temper Tantrum 8.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Unified Dreams 4.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 The Reds 3.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Firewater Jake 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shes a Lucky Rebel 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shelli’s Angel 20.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Crystal d’Oro 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Strawberry Sundae 1.80 2.7 5-1
4 4 Drewsilla 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Anita’s Vision 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Guitar Woman 12.00 5 9-1
Guitar Woman 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Darling Joanna 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Olivia G 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Dixie Farmer 4.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Calaja 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Czar’s Ballerina 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Daisy de Oro 12.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Smart Izzy 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Starsnmotion 3.50 7.4 14-1
2 2 Sikara Sikara 8.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Exacta 15.00 9.1 17-1
14 14 Follow the Saint 8.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Mi Lia 20.00 10.4 20-1
3 3 Lead Me 4.50 10.7 20-1
13 13 Sky High Susan 20.00 12.8 24-1
10 10 Classical Magnolia 8.00 13.4 25-1
16 16 Entitlement 6.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Harold’s Cloud 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Raid 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Laughinalltheway 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Single Ruler 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Kolomio 3.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Flawless Ruler 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Glen Airy 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Redeposit 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hero Worship 3.50 3.3 6-1
11 11 Baltimore Heart 20.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 King of the Palace 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Debt Paid 8.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 Sheriff Joe 10.00 8.8 17-1
16 16 Higgins Boat 4.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Takethefifth 20.00 10.7 20-1
5 5 Rock’n a Halo 8.00 10.7 20-1
2 2 Gordito Hermoso 8.00 11.1 21-1
8 8 Bonzer 4.00 11.2 21-1
1 1 Carthage Cajun 15.00 11.4 22-1
9 9 Air Force Cruising 5.00 11.4 22-1
7 7 Radical Mischief 8.00 13.9 26-1
15 15 Gimme the Candy 4.50 15 28-1
14 14 Partyvicious 8.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sonofaship 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Baileys Bro 8.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Got Me a Chrysler 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Take Charge J J 4.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 Carpis 3.50 6.4 12-1
1 1 Live Affair 10.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Le Monstre Rapide 4.50 7.2 14-1
6 6 Gutzy 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Real City Speed 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Unified Report 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Smarty Alex 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hudson’s Turn 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Deer Crossing 4.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Magawildtime 30.00 8 15-1
11 11 Drilling Report 15.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Moment of Stardom 4.50 9.3 18-1
8 8 Perrins 6.00 10.2 19-1
10 10 Monarch’s Mischief 8.00 10.8 20-1
9 9 Coffee County 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ondatrackpimpernel 30.00 1 2-1
2 2 One More Sleep 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Flash N Class 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Measure of Faith 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Nervy 2.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Iron Fortune 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Computerized 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Lt. Tent 15.00 9 17-1
9 9 Poetic Road 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.