Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast and Frisky | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call Her Bluff | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidon’s Mist | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brooklyn Dantz | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calling an Audible | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purpose | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Detonate | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| Fast and Frisky | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | American Monarch | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Nova Rags | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 5 | He’smyhoneybadger | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Joey Freshwater | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Spun and Won | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Veeson | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blake B. | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Gatling | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s My Category | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forty Two Ace | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Friends Beer | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swift Tap | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Wicked | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cees Get Degrees | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeff Fa Fa | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clem Labine | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dot’s Dollar | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 4 | President Z | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 98 | Mister J T | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Nation Army | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tetsu | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Brown Sugar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alley’s Song | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thirteen Red Flags | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soloshot | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Perfect Mistake | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bustin Time | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mysaria | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sohana | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Andy Cant | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bolt d’Plata | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Xcellent Men | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Venge | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hero’s Medal | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pricing Power | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold ‘n’ Scarlet | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clare Quilty | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kunshan Bridge | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Factually Correct | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aaraj | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 98 | Radio Red | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daufuskie Island | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Got Thunder | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capone | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Authorize | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thrill of It | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giant’s Fire | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Timed Out | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 5 | Icy Reply | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hashtag Lucky | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 4 | A New Peace | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Run Devil | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Buzzy | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carroll Girl | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2B | 9 | Jackie the Joker | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 11 | Halo City | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 3 | Freddymo Factor | 50.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Whistler’s Style | 3.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.