Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 9, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Black Ace 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lunch Lady 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Dodgeball 1.80 2.8 5-1
6 6 Moody Rafaela 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Cheer Up 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Non Binding 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Tenpins Tempest 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Savannah’s Here 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mean American 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Loneshilohspecial 8.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Angela’s Celerity 5.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 See Sassy Run 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 A Wish for Madelyn 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sara’s Sapphire 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Midnight Trip 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bad Brad 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Maladjusted Misfit 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Not Likely 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Hangin’ Tuff 5.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Aller Vite 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Dadsamumbler 20.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Wicked Punches 8.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Hit the Bullseye 15.00 10 19-1
8 8 Ells 3.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 Midland Kid 12.00 10.2 19-1
1 1 Threeofakind 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Lucky Break 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Wind of War 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Faye L. 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Sheza Hot Storm 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Discreet Deal 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Leslie’s Mischief 4.50 8 15-1
1 1 Long Legged Lady 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Tuscan Rules 6.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Stand by Time 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Into Wishing 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Americain Joey 8.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 I Will Stand 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Limonite 2.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Birthday Party 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Scary Fast Smile 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Unfathomed 4.50 6.1 12-1
9 9 Outlaw X. 5.00 7 13-1
1 1 Not Rocket Science 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Hail Southern 15.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Wesleyan 20.00 10.7 20-1
4 4 Smoky Topaz 10.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rona Vision 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kasens Tribe 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Surrey 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Abbey Cakes 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Sarah P 5.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Altar Girl 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Holiday Flowers 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 La Lola 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Vote by Mail 20.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Jess’s Rainbow 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Rojo 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Guitarzan 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 Spheroid 5.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Bonus Appreciation 3.50 7.7 15-1
7 7 Getcha 2.50 8.7 16-1
1 1 Taken Back 10.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Vangilder 15.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Flashy Premo 10.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Paynt Battle 15.00 11.4 22-1
2 2 J C’s in Town 4.00 11.8 22-1
10 10 Dealin’ Stelen 20.00 11.9 22-1
9 9 Bode’s Light 8.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kah Nigh 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Smackover Lime 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Runwithheart 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Yes Jack 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Deroy 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Victor Aly 4.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Itzcoatl 5.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Mr Ramirez 12.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Terni Valentino 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 He’s Charming 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.