Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 9, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prince Cosmo 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mo Saturdays 1.20 1.4 3-1
4 4 Mo Hawk Man 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Cajun Warrior 4.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Larry’s Lunchbox 8.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 My Tennis Shoes 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Talk of the Town 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ruleroftheuniverse 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bayou Magic 4.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Snow King 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Runnin Munnin 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Den’s Good Grace 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Baron of the Nile 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Brittany’s Dream 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Gamer Nate 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Bobby Two Shot’s 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Midnight Halo 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Coal Coal Beer 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Kee Jee 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Wonder Warrior 6.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Ace 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Galadini 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Taylors Magic 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Blue Vortex 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sharp Flame 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Bella Cruella 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Catchyalater 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Love Light 5.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Always Audacious 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Barnaby 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Because the Night 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Not Listening 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Smoothdini 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 J T’s Imagination 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Dumbstruck 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Wardy 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Yo Daddy 8.00 5.6 11-1
Wardy 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lawless Times 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Craftroom 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Sweet Alexis 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Tommie G 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Pursuit l’Harmonie 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Mo Diva 3.50 5.7 11-1
7 7 Tap Iron Fist 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Everylittlesingh 12.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Jus Press Star 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Oh My Mia 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ragtime Lady 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Martynas’ Joy 4.50 3 6-1
10 10 Tempting Lady 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Without Cause 4.50 4.7 9-1
13 13 Who’s Ticket 6.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Tarneema 3.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Joyful Image 8.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Miss Harmonic 15.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Jam’s Paper Moon 4.50 8.2 16-1
8 8 Willowy 30.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Chantry View Road 8.00 11.5 22-1
6 6 Allegrodimolto 20.00 11.9 22-1
5 5 Beyond Beauty 12.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Four Princesses 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Watrugonnadokaren 4.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Fat and Furious 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 No Nannette No 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Pi Yo Princess 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 J Z’s First 5.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Varsity Flygirl 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Dre Me Less 6.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Pat Hand Girl 20.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Sweet Perfection 20.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Averi Ever After 6.00 11.4 22-1
12 12 Kittenofthe Court 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.