Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Birdie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenacious Lady | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Docs Seven | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spoiled Rotten | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Varton | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mumblebee | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Koala | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Right Trappe | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abby the Bull Dawg | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Penzig | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shesasmalltowngirl | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Accelerating Babe | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Differently | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Raven | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Analyzed | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Paddy Gal | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marebell | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | That’s About It | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Coated | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Intrusion | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baba’s Boy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Authority | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wyfire | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morning Snow | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Boomer | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Creekmore | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heza Priority | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mystery Man | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canonize | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | J B’s Legacy | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | D Two | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Family | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | State School Smart | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Violent River | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancin Rocket | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Andy Mort | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chrome Candy | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Brother Mike | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hello Mr Copeland | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light Horse Harry | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fastened | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scrimshire | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool and Cloudy | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Southfork | 6.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Peanut | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willow Creek Road | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Ten Stadium | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bettys Cash | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Man in the Can | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Navy Seal | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lochmoor | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Ronnie | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peace Dog | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mahomey | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Asymmetric | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balsa | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vale | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mahoney Road | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Work Order | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Smackzilla | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boogie Bode | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raven’s Nest | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bell Dozer | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bordinos | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Contrabandista | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Herecomestroy | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Crush | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Express Cruiser | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Master of Disguise | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notorious Sixohtwo | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Perp Walk | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Different Flame | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Superhero | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mischievous Max | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Phenomenal Dream | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ask Willie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Diversion | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Storm Cat Eyes | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Handsome Rascal | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Flight | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camp David | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Pattern | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Centurian | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decision Maker | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nullarbor | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alejandro | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ethical Judgement | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Expensive Cut | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Search Engine | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Masqueparade | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hayes Strike | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commandperformance | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Payne | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Osbourne | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strava | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | B Dawk | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Blue | 4.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pats Property | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Santos Dumont | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Yaqui Valley | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Empyreal Shadow | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chez Whiz | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moneystrike | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Yeagers Strategy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Great Barrier | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Luck Henry | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Honor | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunday Spirit | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Streakin Deacon | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reveille Valley | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amazing Success | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sip Slowly | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Shadow | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.