Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 10, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Boss Soss 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tambourine Star 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Peso Pesado 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Duvee 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Manly Deeds 3.50 3.4 7-1
3 3 Cajun Ami 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Big Boo 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Canada’s Customs 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cajun Ninja 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Fouralivia 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Royal O’Haigain 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Miss Priority 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Louisiana Liberty 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Drop Dead Sexy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Country Lady 3.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Isolation 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Half Page 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Galaxy Thirtysix 10.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Miss Kennedy 6.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Mo Bling 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Ours and Theirs 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Candy Bar 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rubia 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Fiesta Besta 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Ms. Lilibet 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Riley Jean 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Art Deco 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Stephs Coast 15.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Lynna 20.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 I Am Beautiful 8.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Goldys Lock 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Super Curioso (ARG) 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Nordic Light 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Hoodlum 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 My Bariley 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Blurt 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Rooster Run 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Yes Point 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Fabled Ruler 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Billy’s Got Issues 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mauritius 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Monjid 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Professor Higgins 5.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Gluckstadt 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 He Gots to Go 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Liquid Addiction (IRE) 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Under Surveillance 6.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 First Class Harlow 12.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Ronic 12.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Z Z’s Prince 20.00 11.2 21-1
12 12 Joint Venture 20.00 12.2 23-1
13 13 Lookin At Betty 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 A Miss Deameanor 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Sister Ella 5.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Moion 12.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Jet Rocket 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Girl Likes Bling 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 About to Set Sail 3.50 2.9 5-1
10 10 Stephanie’s Maria 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Grabiq 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Tensas Lucy 5.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Delightful Halo 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Summer in Adriane 4.50 1 2-1
13 13 Funnyflame 4.00 2.8 5-1
14 14 Higgins Boat 4.50 3.2 6-1
12 12 Justifreak 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Irish Ransom 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Blood Brother 3.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Starstudded Affair 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 El Alacran 4.00 7 13-1
6 6 Bisate 6.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 King Mendelssohn 6.00 8 15-1
3 3 Bean Machine 10.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Pearl of Aclaim (GB) 8.00 10.3 19-1
8 8 Induringhope 8.00 12.8 24-1
9 9 Shire’s End 10.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 American Dollars 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 True Crimson 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Punchie 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Lil Woadie 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Stiff Drink 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Double On the Red 6.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Infinitesimal 4.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Gobot 20.00 8.7 17-1
9 9 Cocal 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.