Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chelsea Pier | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | K’antheia | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haunted Dream | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruby Queen | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Business as Usual | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Happy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Merasol Sugar | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She’s Storming | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitiara | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Punchy Girl | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Queenies Way | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Dams Atitude | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Music | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shutup Please | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jeri Dawn | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Navagationalbeacon | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thursday Morning | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Booth | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andy’s Candy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Mark | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frost Free | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ceepeegee | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make It Spend It | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Town | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Til Dawn | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greers Ferry | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rivetage | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ambiguous | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quebrancho | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Famous Final Scene | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | You’re On Mute | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Plate | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | County Judge | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prince Is My Boy | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Without Objection | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Equate | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Chaos | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backside Buzz | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Elvis | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobwhite Bobby | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cactus | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boat Song | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manta Rey | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forever Cool | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rocking Rocket | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| Rocking Rocket | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo Moves | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honest Opinion | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motown Collection | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Singing Groom | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Xkuz | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Works | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saturday Starter | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Strickland | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hexcel | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Native Moonshine | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Is My Name | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | More Money Mo | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lips Say Bliss | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Order of Magnitude | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What’s Up Doc | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knox | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auto Glide | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harleezy | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kobla Mas | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Apple | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zap Motion | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Story Hour | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Run | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Like Magic | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Duet | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Lass | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marshside Mama | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Insensitive | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Good Fortune | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ladan | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Always Be Smart | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shattuck | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speedtail | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Melt With You | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moneyshot | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Fast | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Search | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vincita | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riyadh Moon | 4.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Native Land | 3.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.