Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, February 13, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Juju Nineteen 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Quarter Rat 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Tsuris 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Sarah’s Vision 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Northernreflection 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 J B Gray 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Sir Overanalyze 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Fort Bonz 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Emily’s Boy 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Red Rock Solution 12.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Cypress Gold 4.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Regatta Bay 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Bradfield Baby 4.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Temple of Peace 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Misterholyroller 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Freddie by a Nose 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Kickin Chip 12.00 4.2 8-1
Bradfield Baby 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Glenn’s Jumper 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mischief’s Machine 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Two Dot 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Smokin Richie 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Desoto’s War 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Sailor Chow 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Gallant Buck 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Jrue Breeze 4.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Mark the Moose 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Courageous Timmy 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Optimal Courage 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Nobrag Justfact 6.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Optimus Kat 4.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Herd Immunity 6.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Smokey Harbor 4.00 3.1 6-1
13 13 Yolanda Who 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Afleet Ascent 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Charlie G 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Of the Moment 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 One Time Gem 15.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Chaosmos 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Criminal Defense 30.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Niles Channel 3.50 6.2 12-1
Niles Channel 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Marsalis 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Willtorun 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Surveillance 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Morello 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Kavod 3.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Linzer 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sheriff Joe 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Debt Paid 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 King of the Palace 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Lost in the Sauce 5.00 5.2 10-1
14 14 Higgins Boat 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Baltimore Heart 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Noble Eagle 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Bronte Diem 8.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Partyvicious 5.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Patriarchal 3.50 8.5 16-1
4 4 Map to the Stars 6.00 9 17-1
13 13 Glacial Power 6.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Diamond Lord 6.00 9.3 18-1
15 15 Cruel Endeavor 8.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Quarrymen 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Agoo 2.50 4 7-1
5 5 Cats by Five 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Honky Tonk Highway 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Shogun Be Fast 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Doncho 1.60 6.5 12-1
3 3 Bear River 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Mardi Gras S.) – Mardi Gras S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Carimba 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ova Charged 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Oeuvre 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Brandon’smylawyer 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Redifined 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Poppy Flower 5.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Sweet Temperament 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Jumpin Judy 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Dana’s Beauty 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Breeze Easy (GB) 15.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Lady Hideaway 12.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Naughty Lottie 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Oh My Mia 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fasta Lavista Baby 8.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Mischievousness 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Pretty Ana 2.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Sterling Luck 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Churning Berni 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Looking for Ginny 8.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Osterville Public 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Montclair Road 6.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.