Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vayesta 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Haley’s Happy Girl 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Kap Hoorn 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Glitter Bomb 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 My Sweetheart Dani 30.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Reassess 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Touched by Quality 30.00 4.1 8-1
My Sweetheart Dani 9 17-1
Glitter Bomb 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Derby Hangover 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Big Dreamer 10.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Save Us Melania 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Pure Magic Girl 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Sugar N Spice 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Trumpets 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Ellagio 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Retail Therapy 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Ghoz On 15.00 5.9 11-1
Trumpets 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 This Run’s for You 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Major King 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Wednesdaynight Lad 1.60 3 6-1
2 2 Holiday Fantasy 1.40 3.3 6-1
4 4 Gonna Be Epic 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Nature Boy 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Federal Exchange 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cooler King 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Infamous Nono 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Peach Nectar 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 On Jet Heir 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Mexicoffee 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Souper Sunshine 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Acamar 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Blue Lieutenant 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Positive Carry (IRE) 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Candy Landy 5.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Past Tense 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Hi’iaka 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Luna Love 15.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Just Maryann 10.00 6.1 12-1
16 16 Z Train (IRE) 15.00 7.2 14-1
14 14 Final Draft 15.00 8 15-1
3 3 Fluid 20.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Expatriate 3.50 8.7 16-1
12 12 Swans Cove 8.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Fear and Friday 12.00 10.5 20-1
15 15 Celebrity Ro 10.00 10.7 20-1
11 11 Lady Madonna 10.00 11.2 21-1
2 2 Theforcebewithyou 30.00 12.9 24-1
6 6 O’Nice Girl (FR) 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gabagool 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Smokin Bow 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Carsown 1.60 1.9 4-1
5 5 Norfie 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Tejota 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Circle the Moon 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Danley 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Caitlinhergrtness 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Launch 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Flower Mound 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Runaway Diva 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Roswell 1.60 4.1 8-1
1 1 New Diamond 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 One of One 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sadie Bear 1.60 1.4 3-1
6 6 Chloe’s Toy 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Bon Dia 15.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Princess Blakely 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Splurge 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Motown Mika 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Talking Wonders 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Thelastbulletsmine 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 New Rome 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Alybaer 3.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Cardio Princess (JPN) 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Judge Judith 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Yooou Know 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Strand of Gold 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Dontmesswithtess 8.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Amunet 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.