Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vayesta | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haley’s Happy Girl | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kap Hoorn | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glitter Bomb | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Sweetheart Dani | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reassess | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Touched by Quality | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| My Sweetheart Dani | 9 | 17-1 | |||
| Glitter Bomb | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Derby Hangover | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Dreamer | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Save Us Melania | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Magic Girl | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar N Spice | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trumpets | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ellagio | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Retail Therapy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghoz On | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| Trumpets | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | This Run’s for You | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Major King | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wednesdaynight Lad | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Fantasy | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gonna Be Epic | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nature Boy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Federal Exchange | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cooler King | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Infamous Nono | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peach Nectar | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On Jet Heir | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mexicoffee | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Sunshine | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Acamar | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Lieutenant | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Positive Carry (IRE) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Landy | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Past Tense | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hi’iaka | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luna Love | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Just Maryann | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Z Train (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Final Draft | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fluid | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Expatriate | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Swans Cove | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fear and Friday | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Celebrity Ro | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Madonna | 10.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Theforcebewithyou | 30.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | O’Nice Girl (FR) | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gabagool | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin Bow | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carsown | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Norfie | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tejota | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Circle the Moon | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danley | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Caitlinhergrtness | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Launch | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flower Mound | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Diva | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roswell | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Diamond | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One of One | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sadie Bear | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chloe’s Toy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bon Dia | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Blakely | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Splurge | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Motown Mika | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talking Wonders | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thelastbulletsmine | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Rome | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alybaer | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cardio Princess (JPN) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judge Judith | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yooou Know | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strand of Gold | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dontmesswithtess | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amunet | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.